ACADEMY OF DEVELOPMENT MANAGEMENT – INSTITUTE OF SKY POLITICS Russia before a cunning choice The dynamics of the development of the international situation of the new era of Sky Politics are assessed using the model of the Battle of world projects at the card table of history, which has been refined since 2003 and has proven its effectiveness over 20 years. There are six players in the Battle for leadership in the new world order: - The USA with transhumanism, - China with the Community of Shared Future for Mankind, - Europe with inclusive capitalism, - The world of Islam with the project of the New Caliphate, - The “Eternal Kingdom of Israel” with the Solomon Plan and - Russia. At the same time, liberal Russia of democratic choice has no strong cards in the layouts. It cannot order the game. And therefore it is forced to play the role of the “card dummy” in alignments with other players. In the round of 2021 – 2024, Russia plays in alignment with the USA and the PRC. Russia marked its place in this alignment of three forces on 15.12.21 in the “Ryabkov Ultimatum” presented to the USA on strategic stability, absolutely unacceptable in its demand to push NATO back from Russia to the 1997 lines and which passed from diplomacy into the military and military-technical sphere in the form of the Special Military Operation of the Russian Federation in Ukraine and around it.

In essence, the Russian Federation, in an active position on the European theater of war of a new hybrid type, entered into confrontation with the USA. This confrontation is advantageous to the USA, for it allows the financial bubbles of the debt economy to be deflated into the real sector of arms production, and thus keeps the US petrodollar from collapse, preserving the active position of the USA as world leader. The preservation of the dominance of the petrodollar and, accordingly, of US leadership is disadvantageous to China, and therefore Beijing from the very beginning of the SMO has advocated a political settlement of the military conflict in Ukraine, relying on the UN Charter. However, when in the alignment of three forces two forces are active (the USA and the Russian Federation), China has no choice but to return to the passive position of the “cunning monkey watching the clash of two tigers.” Although the 20th Congress of the CPC in October 2022, in order to fulfill the Chinese dream of the revival of the greatness of the nation of yellow people, did adopt a decision on Beijing’s transition from a passive to an active position of the “all-powerful dragon.” But so far this has not gone well. The confrontation of the Russian Federation with the USA is an ambush for drawing Russia into Brzezinski’s formula: “The New World Order under US primacy will be built against Russia, on the ruins of Russia and at the expense of Russia.” It is noteworthy that, answering the question about the causes of the collapse of the USSR, the Chinese came to the conclusion that one of the three main causes of the tragic fate of the CPSU and the entire legacy of the “red idea” of Lenin – Stalin was by no means the desperate attempt at “perestroika,” but the acute confrontation of the USSR with the USA in the Cold War, which the USSR lost by 1989. Besides the USA, the beneficiary of the USSR’s loss in the Cold War turned out to be China (the cunning monkey), which, in order to normalize relations, imposed on Moscow the removal of three obstacles: the withdrawal of troops from Mongolia and their pullback from the border, the withdrawal of Soviet troops from Afghanistan and Vietnamese troops from Cambodia. Normalization took place according to Deng Xiaoping’s formula: “good neighbors for centuries, never enemies.” Now this formula has the form of “strategic interaction.” As for PRC – US relations, they are called “constructive cooperation.” Victory in war is the strengthening of the existing regime of power. Losing a war is always a change of regime. That war into which Russia has been drawn is conceptually linked to the “Patrushev Doctrine” published in the SVR journal “Razvedchik” on 15.09.23, which speaks of the confrontation between Russia and the West, calls for the unification of that part of humanity which does not want to be the “fodder base” of the USA and predicts the “imminent collapse of the pyramid of parasitism” built by the USA. The “Patrushev Doctrine” implies an alliance of the Russian Federation with the PRC against the USA. However, in reality China avoids allied relations with the Kremlin, insisting only on a scheme of relations as strategic rear for each other: “back to back.” Since the Russian Federation is in an active position, Beijing does not get into open confrontation with the USA. And from the position (all-powerful dragon) it has returned to the passive (cunning monkey). Here is also the reason for the removal from their posts of the Minister of Foreign Affairs and the Minister of Defense of the PRC, appointed within the framework of the active course approved by the 20th Congress of the CPC for overcoming the USA, and the reason for the return of Chinese-American relations to “constructive cooperation,” at least until the end of 2024.

The former creator of Kremlin meanings, V. Surkov, before leaving the Presidential Administration, published two articles about “Putin’s Long State.” At the same time, Surkov linked the retention of the regime to the transfer of the Russian Federation’s internal problems outward. The Special Military Operation and Russia’s confrontation with the USA are precisely what solve this problem of preserving what exists. Let me recall that the next round of the Great Game at the card table of history with a new layout and in new alignments is 2025-2028. Understanding the grave prospect of the further drawing of the Russian Federation into Brzezinski’s formula, Sky Politics substantiates Russia’s participation in the new round in a different alignment of three forces. Namely: the Chinese Dream Project – the Solomon Plan (both active) – Russia with the Greater Eurasia project (in the passive). At the same time, the Russian Federation does not need to push against the USA and NATO, leaving this matter to China, Europe, the world of Islam, and the Kabbalist Jews. Which, in the position of a third-party beneficiary, will allow it to concentrate on internal questions of construction, foretold for Russia for a short time as the “Kingdom of Truth – the Power of the White Tsar.” The Kremlin’s departure from the front of confrontation with the USA into the position of the PRC’s strategic rear will allow Russia to enter the new world order together with China, on China’s shoulders and at China’s expense. Here is the cunning choice between Brzezinski’s formula and the formula of Sky Politics. For the end of October 2023, a meeting between Xi Jinping and Putin has been scheduled in Beijing, timed to coincide with the third international “Belt and Road” forum. If the phrase “Common Destiny of China and Russia” appears in the documents on the results of the meeting, this will mean that Putin has accepted Xi Jinping’s conditions for the further order of “strategic interaction.” According to the assessment of Sky Politics, the main question of relations in the new era is the recognition of the common destiny of China and Russia. To understand common destiny, it is necessary to determine the common values of our civilizations, whereas in reality the conversation so far is only about interests. Since our relations are called “strategic interaction” (good neighbors – never enemies), it is still too early to speak sincerely about common destiny. For now, it would be necessary to state clearly at least the position of mutual strategic rear in the confrontation with the USA along the front. As for the strategic rear, it is important for the Kremlin to agree on supplies from the PRC of all that equipment, assemblies and parts which the Russian Federation previously imported from Western countries and which have now fallen under sanctions. Russia, in turn, is seen by China as a warehouse of resources, including the human resource of paradoxical thinking of people who speak and think in Russian. In November, a meeting of the leaders of the USA and the PRC is planned in San Francisco, timed to coincide with the APEC summit. Putin was not invited to the summit. Thus, the configuration of international relations in the near-term perspective of 2024-2025 will depend on the meetings Xi Jinping – Putin and Xi Jinping – Biden. Executed by Andrey Devyatov No923 of 29.09.23